Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.233368 0.268737 0.306800 0.350704 0.399842 0.453034 0.514858
2025-12-28 0.180523 0.228950 0.285297 0.355256 0.439301 0.536515 0.656930
2026-01-04 0.143132 0.198943 0.268797 0.361545 0.480219 0.625638 0.815795
2026-01-11 0.112425 0.170844 0.249266 0.360153 0.510479 0.704481 0.970600
2026-01-18 0.089225 0.147823 0.231920 0.358028 0.538272 0.781964 1.130681
2026-01-25 0.071332 0.128542 0.216083 0.354805 0.562981 0.856565 1.292853
2026-02-01 0.057781 0.112966 0.202745 0.352571 0.587737 0.932323 1.462030
2026-02-08 0.047140 0.099810 0.190713 0.350036 0.610786 1.006529 1.633852
2026-02-15 0.038387 0.087980 0.178675 0.345312 0.629061 1.074107 1.799935
2026-02-22 0.032932 0.081140 0.174029 0.351983 0.665684 1.171882 2.017768
2026-03-01 0.027228 0.072418 0.164358 0.348216 0.683893 1.241177 2.195185
2026-03-08 0.023001 0.065834 0.157588 0.348570 0.708695 1.322258 2.395771
2026-03-15 0.018846 0.058433 0.148061 0.342685 0.722261 1.386519 2.575012
2026-03-22 0.016883 0.055945 0.148487 0.356428 0.773042 1.517719 2.873694
2026-03-29 0.015072 0.053378 0.148296 0.368819 0.822287 1.649468 3.181079
2026-04-05 0.012914 0.049227 0.143720 0.371293 0.852412 1.749065 3.438726
2026-04-12 0.010979 0.045130 0.138501 0.371585 0.878012 1.841852 3.689395
2026-04-19 0.009259 0.041129 0.132751 0.369821 0.899041 1.927236 3.931238
2026-04-26 0.007831 0.037599 0.127528 0.368496 0.920642 2.014740 4.181237
2026-05-03 0.006605 0.034327 0.122343 0.366488 0.940402 2.099642 4.430546
2026-05-10 0.005501 0.031064 0.116495 0.361968 0.954068 2.173193 4.662121
2026-05-17 0.004869 0.029485 0.115319 0.369165 0.994384 2.301727 5.003512
2026-05-24 0.004073 0.026824 0.110242 0.365400 1.009251 2.379689 5.251718